Home Water Scarcity Food Security Environment Technical Help The Model

Water Scarcity

Introduction

 

Water scarcity is a relative concept – it is partly a "social construct" in that it is determined both by the availability of water and by consumption patterns. Because of the large number of factors which influence both availability and consumption, the determining of water scarcity will vary widely from country to country, and from region to region within a country. Adopting a global figure to indicate water scarcity should therefore be done with great caution. Whilst a threshold such as 1000m3 per capita may be useful for purposes of comparison, it should be used with care as it may understate situations of potentially serious water stress.
  • "In 1973, the Yellow River failed to reach the sea for the first time in China's history, when it dried up for 15 days; in 1997, it failed to reach the sea for 220 days"
  • "The freshwater Aral Sea, in Uzbekistan has shrunk to a fraction of its original size, mainly due to water extraction for irrigation"
  • "The Florida Everglades have shrunk to half their original size due to urbanization and agricultural practices"

(2004 RWE Thames Water)

Background

 

Regions in the world with water scarcity include Africa, Middle East, South Asia, and the North America. More specifically, North and East Africa, India, China, Mexico, Middle East, southern region of the former Soviet states and the western part of the United States are amongst the most directly affected regions. There is 1360 million cubic kilometers of water on Earth, but only 0.126 million cubic kilometers are easily available. This comes to a mere 0.009%. If we look at how we use this 0.009%, things become more clear.

Global use by sector per year:

  • Cooling - 225 cubic kilometers
  • Industrial - 200 cubic kilometers
  • Domestic - 100 cubic kilometers
  • Livestock - 40 cubic kilometers
  • Total - 565 cubic kilometers (Suzanne Schnek Mike Taylor,Westminister College)

Water scarcity can be defined either in terms of the existing and potential supply of water, or in terms of the present and future demands for water, or both. For example, in their pioneering study of water scarcity, Falkenmark et al. (1989) take a "supply-side" approach by ranking countries according to the per capita amount of Annual Water Resources in the country. One of the problems with the supply-side approach is that the criterion for water scarcity is based on a country’s water resources without reference to present and future demand or needs for water. The original study by Seckler et al (1998) and the subsequent work that led to the development of PODIUM, attempt to resolve these problems by simulating the demand for water in relation to the available water resources.

Three categories of water scarcity in the PODIUM:

Countries are grouped into three categories of water scarcity: 1. Physical water scarcity, 2. Economic water scarcity and 3. Little or no water scarcity.

1. Physical Water Scarcity: This is defined in terms of the magnitude of primary water supply (PWS) development with respect to potentially utilizable water resources (PUWR). Physical water scarce conditions are reached if primary water supply of country exceeds 60 percent of its PUWR. This means that even with the highest feasible efficiency and productivity, PUWR of a country is not sufficient to meet the demand of agriculture, domestic, industrial sectors while satisfying its environmental needs. Countries in this category will have to transfer water from agriculture to other sectors and import food or invest in costly desalinization plants.

2. Economic Water Scarcity: This is defined in terms of the magnitude of primary water. Economic water scarce countries have sufficient water resources to meet their additional PWS needs, but need to increase their PWS through additional storage and conveyance facilities by more than 25 percent. Most of these countries face severe financial and development capacity problems for increasing PWS to those levels.

3. Little or no water scarcity: This is defined in terms of the magnitude of primary water.  These countries are not physically water scarce and also need to develop less than 25 percent of additional PWS to meet their 2025 needs.

Click on the link below and have a look into the model and water dependency (scarcity), related to sectors.

Use the model :http://podium.iwmi.org/

Water Scarcity Problems

 

The Water Scarcity Problems we have are Caused by:
  • Population growth (High demand =water stress)
  • Sectoral Competition and Water Demand
  • Climatic Change and Variability
  • Inappropriate Land Use
  • Political Realities
  • Poverty and Economic Policy
  • Lack of institutional capacity
  • Legislation and Water Resource Management
  • International Disputes
  • Pollution and Poor Water Quality
  • Cultural and  Sociological Issues
Water Scarcity Matters because there are repercussions for Humans and the Environment;

Human problems:

  • Food Shortages
  • Health Crisis
  • International Conflict
Environmental Problems:
  • Erosion
  • Waste Disposal Problems
  • Polluted Waters

Possible Solutions

 
Old Solutions Rethought
  • Build Dams - Water, normally lost downstream, is stored and used by humans
  • Water Prediction - Regional Centres (Agrometeorology and Hydrology) provide advice for improved water management
Traditional
  • Rainwater harvesting - Rain, normally lost downstream or through evaporation, is caught, and used by humans
  • Increasing efficiency - Using only enough water to supply for the plant’s needs
  • Find new sources of groundwater
High-tech
  • Diverting and/or Linking  Rivers -
  • Desalinization of seawater or melting of icebergs
  • Moving People

Conclusions

 

As a global community, we put high demands on existing water resources. In some cases, perhaps more in the future, this becomes the source of international conflict. In many cases, we use water unwisely. The water available for use on Earth if finite, and if we are not wise in it’s use, clean water will become a globally scarce commodity, as it now is already in so many places. Many solutions are being proposed to solve the problem, but most certainly all these solutions will have trade-offs and costs. No one solution will solve our water scarcity global problem.

Water Scarcity related Links

 

Websites

Articles

Copyrights © 2004, 2005   IWMI.    All Rights Reserved