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In the Policy Dialogue Model the Cereal Requirements are the requirements of national consumption by
her population. The Most important subcategories or scenarios in this category are; Population and Daily
Calorie Intake (diet consumption). These two are the main driving forces behind food demand.
The cereal balance – i.e. cereal production minus cereal requirements – is expressed as percentage of total
cereal consumption. Countries with a positive cereal balance are considered as food exporters while a negative
balance indicates food import. "A country is classified as production scarce if it has to import more than 10
percent of its domestic food requirements. Production scarcity may occur due to limited resources but also out
of choice: countries making use of their comparative advantage in other sectors than agriculture1"
The figure below provides details on variables and data sources. Use this Documentation Link for more specific
information about Scenarios and Drivers in the Policy Dialogue Model. This documentation also provides the
equation which is used to get the numbers, like used in the PODIUM.
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